Lone Shark wrote: ↑Tue Apr 15, 2025 8:25 pm
A few random thoughts, in no particular order.
(1) The two pointers are definitely a distortion on a day when there is any sort of wind factor, and particularly to get two points for a free from distance. I don't personally like it, and I think that when the statisticians have a year of data to work with, we're going to see some very unwieldy, awkward attacking play as team's realise that double the reward means that in many cases, a bad two-point shot will be a mathematically a better option than to take a shot from 30 metres out in a central position.
Now that being said, there is a narrative growing that Offaly lost the game to two-pointers. We scored five and conceded seven, in a game that we lost by seven points. There's a lot more to it than that.
(2) The bench thing is a massive, massive problem. Now I don't think getting into individual players is helpful, and since I've never watched Castleknock play a game in my life, I'm not going to say that there weren't good reasons for giving Eoin Sawyer a go. Management are watching him in training, they see what he can and can't do, and it was a game where we were almost certainly going to need a goal, so maybe that was it. Obviously on paper, you'd look at some of the other lads and say that they have more on their CV.
But stepping back to put it in context - our first sub was used after 63 minutes. Wicklow’s first substitution against Dublin was in the 45th minute, their second was after 63 minutes. Louth had two changes already made by the time the clock reached 63 minutes in Newbridge on Sunday. Every other team that was involved in the four Leinster and two Ulster quarter-finals had at least three subs made by the 63rd minute, and a couple had used all five replacements at that point.
Moreover, this is the fourth game in a row where we've used either two or three subs in total, at a time when in 80-90% of cases, teams use the full complement of five, maybe with a blood sub along with it. And we're not finishing games well, which is intuitive, let's put it that way.
There are counties not too far ahead of us in the pecking order where getting into the matchday 26 is a challenge, and where it's commonplace to have four changes made by the 55th minute, most preplanned, with one man kept in reserve in case of injury. Meanwhile we're frequently asking all eight of our middle third guys - players who are doing more running than ever - to play 60+ minutes. You don't have to be a sports scientist to realise this puts you at a disadvantage.
(3) Overall, I'm happy with a lot of Sunday's game. I would have felt that Meath were vulnerable mentally going into it, and that the most important thing for Offaly was to ask real questions of them - but at the end of the day, it's 20 years since we've finished ahead of them in the league. In Navan, we always needed them to underperform a little. We built up a decent half-time lead, we forced them to take tough shots, and in the third quarter, they nailed every one of them. They had 14 wides overall, but that was eight in the first half and six in the final quarter. When the squeeze was on, Meath showed up. That should make it a lot easier for Offaly to make peace with the result.
(4) Of course there are regrets. I'm thinking of the score BnM man mentioned where we nailed a two-pointer and then gave it right back by interfering with a mark. In the modern game, it's just not worth the risk - if an opponent has made a catch around the middle, you just have to back off for the next ten yards, there is no circumstance where it's worth rolling the dice. But as well as that, we were midway through the first half and Meath hadn't scored, and then Pearson pushed Curtis in the back for a handy free to get them off the mark. I know defenders have to walk the line in the modern game but it felt like handing them a big psychological boost, rather than making them earn it.
Then there was the half-goal chance at the start of the second half. I don't think that Tierney (the passer) or Hayes (the receiver) did anything really wrong, it was just a great play by Seán Coffey to read the move and intercept. ]
What I definitely don't buy into is this idea that where we went wrong was not scoring more in the first half, something I've seen brought up in a few spots. We led by ten points, we forced Meath to take risky shots, and they had a lot more possession in the first half than we did in the second. It was a strong wind, but it wasn't so unplayable that we should have gone the full second half without scoring from play.
(5) Of all the teams that Offaly have played and will play in 2025, Meath posed the biggest challenge in terms of winning ball from kickouts. We're not a big team, and I thought that we managed a difficult situation very well for a long time. Paddy Dunican had to play a lot of eye-of-a-needle restarts and he missed the mark with a few but largely was very accurate, while there were a good few times that we worked the ball out of defence well, even when the pressure was on. Daire McDaid stepping his man when he was the last man back in the right corner and no outball was fair chutzpah, to hand it to the lad. There was a lot of that, with Furlong, Bracken and Flynn all breaking out of tackles when they needed to.
With this in mind, Kyle Higgins' emergence has been vital, but even then, more strategies are going to be needed. Jack McEvoy has played well this year and I really like Jordan Hayes, I think he's one of the best all-round players we have, but I would say that neither is a 'Lord of the Skies' type fielder, they're both in midfield because they can do the job, rather than saying they're made for it. I don't think anything is going to change in 2025 in that Hayes is one of the first names I'd put on my teamsheet every week and while there might be better fielders than McEvoy, what you'd gain in aerial ability you'd lose in other aspects.
(6) For all the talk of Dublin's decline, no-one's beating them in Leinster this year anyway, so I don't think we missed out on any glorious opportunity in that regard. It is a pity though because a win over Meath would have been a big deal in its own right.
Like everyone else, I do hope the general attitude is one of knuckling down, using the next month well and hammering into the Tailteann. Cup. I don't agree with the TC at all, I think the old qualifiers were much better, but while it's there, we may as well use it, if only because there is a real advantage to sticking together as a group and training on into the latter part of June. Brian Byrne (Laois) mentioned that this year, that no matter what you do as a group in Winter, working together in high summer is great for any panel and even though they lost last year's TC final, he felt getting there and everything that went with it served them well.
Certainly there's no-one in the competition, or no-one that might yet end up in the competition, that Offaly should feel in any way nervous about facing.