Re: Club Football 2026
Posted: Mon Sep 28, 2026 10:32 am
Didn't see him.
Assumed he wasn't let play by Essendon who's season is over a few weeks now.
Assumed he wasn't let play by Essendon who's season is over a few weeks now.
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I wouldn't count areas like Ratoath, Ballincollig, Rush, Greystones etc. as towns in the same vein as Portlaoise, Tullamore, Cavan, Ballina etc.Offaly Hero wrote: ↑Mon Sep 28, 2026 9:49 am Not quite as straight forward as that.
Tullamore are hardly in lonely company. Other examples of Irish towns with populations over 10,000 that are still essentially served by one main GAA club include Naas, Portlaoise, Castlebar, Cavan, Longford, Celbridge, Maynooth, Kildare Town, Ratoath, Ashbourne, Balbriggan, Skerries, Rush, Malahide, Portmarnock, Bray, Greystones, Wicklow Town, Gorey, Ballincollig, Carrigaline, Midleton, Mallow, Shannon, Ballina and Laytown-Bettystown-Mornington.
So that's 27–28 of the 49 towns (or around 55–57%) that have a population of over 10,000 in the Republic of Ireland that can reasonably be described as predominantly one GAA club towns.
I've always been interested as to what goes into these odds.biffinbanner wrote: ↑Mon Sep 28, 2026 2:29 pm tullamore 1/3 ferbane 2/1 to lift cup. seems a bit closer in my thinking but the highly paid odds compilers of boylesports might know more than me.
Kieran Dolan and David O'Rourke based off the Shamrocks game?Snotser123 wrote: ↑Mon Sep 28, 2026 3:43 pm As championship comes to a finish who are we thinking is putting the hand up for county squad......a real lack of county level forward the worry again in your top senior teams ....Nally will surely choose hurling again ? Cian farrell and Aaron keelaghan to make themselves available? For all the talk about rhode men being left out last year Jesus Christ I can't think think of anyone putting their hand up from that group?.....Kieran dolan and David Rourke hopefully looked at from shamrocks......tullamore great team performance again yesterday but outside of plunkett still no offering to an Offaly panel out of their forwards.....does Hogan come back in at full back , not sure if retired himself or just left in a huff over not being captain? No spring chicken but twice the player of who we were looking at last year in that position .....
This is a nonsense argument.DurrowBoy17 wrote: ↑Mon Sep 28, 2026 5:18 pm It was pointed out to me by a Ferbane man yesterday that Cathal Flynn, although still a loss for Ferbane, he's a much bigger loss to Offaly than he is for Ferbane.
This wasn't to imply Ferbane is better than Offaly, he was just making the point Ferbane have David Nally & Jake Maher at wing backs and have been their best players this year and create everything for them from defence to attack.
With Offaly, they don't seem to have anyone like that currently. I thought it was a good and interesting point and couldn't argue with it.
Yeah, one of my many former lives....faithfulfanatic wrote: ↑Mon Sep 28, 2026 2:56 pm I've always been interested as to what goes into these odds.
I think loneshark said he previously worked for a bookmakers and might be able to shed some light?
How many people would be compiling these odds?
What is it based on: form/history/where the money comes? It's not like a Premier league match as a local wedding or holiday or row could decide who's available on a given day.
Are the odds compilers scouring forums such as this for local news or is it all in the numbers and statistics?
I assume it wouldn't take too much money to change a price?
This was an insightful post.Lone Shark wrote: ↑Mon Sep 28, 2026 9:23 pmYeah, one of my many former lives....faithfulfanatic wrote: ↑Mon Sep 28, 2026 2:56 pm I've always been interested as to what goes into these odds.
I think loneshark said he previously worked for a bookmakers and might be able to shed some light?
How many people would be compiling these odds?
What is it based on: form/history/where the money comes? It's not like a Premier league match as a local wedding or holiday or row could decide who's available on a given day.
Are the odds compilers scouring forums such as this for local news or is it all in the numbers and statistics?
I assume it wouldn't take too much money to change a price?
It's not all that scientific to be honest - all the derivative markets about winning margins, total goals, they are all quite mathematical, but the fundamental bit on how superior team A is to team B is very much a gut feeling thing, based on the info around you.
Yes, they would have local spies in some places who would have varying levels of insight, but it is as simple as this is what you do all day, you get to a point where you are just pretty au fait with every county player in Ireland, and indeed the club players of all the main clubs as well.
They would keep data on each player in terms of their scoring numbers, they would absolutely track local media and forums like this one, and the amount of money it would take to change a price would vary completely based on the standard of the game.
You're not wrong that when it's a round robin game, there could be a few players gone on holiday or a wedding as you say, and in that instance, someone looking for €500 on a 2/1 outsider, if they're not someone who places bets like that very regularly, would lead to a price cut.
However for a county final, it's different - no senior player from Ferbane or Tullamore is going to miss the final because he's on holiday, and the form is well-established, so they'll be a lot happier to stand a decent bet here.
In terms of why Tullamore are that price, I'd say that normally, that would equate to a handicap of about three or 3.5 points. In this instance it will be shorter for the simple reason that the form over the last three years is very consistent. The sides are very evenly matched in terms of their footballing ability and quality, but Tullamore have always found a way to win, and both winning and losing becomes a habit. I cannot praise these Ferbane lads highly enough in that they have a great attitude, are utterly committed and will do everything they can for the club and the parish, but if it's level with ten minutes to go, it's Tullamore who will feel that they've been here before and they know that they have it in them, Ferbane will have to try and battle a few quite stubborn mental demons. So I expect a two point handicap, but a match price of 2/5 Tullamore, 5/2 Ferbane and 7/1 the draw.
The only things that are different this year are Flynn's injury (very significant), Bourke's absence (quite significant), Leon Fox's return (significant) and Tullamore winning the Senior B, to prove that there is great depth in the club and plenty more decent players to call on if needed (relevant, but the least important aspect of the four). There are new players all right, but Ferbane have Jake Maher playing brilliantly and James Wren is a find, Tullamore have Patrick Kenna and Jack Maher going very well, I'd say there's no advantage to either side there. All in all, Tullamore have been a score or two better for each of the last three finals, and until Ferbane prove otherwise, that's how the bookies will pitch a game like this.
not a county forward, has no paceSnotser123 wrote: ↑Mon Sep 28, 2026 3:43 pm tullamore great team performance again yesterday but outside of plunkett still no offering to an Offaly panel out of their forwards.....